Note: For per country details projections, and for methodology see main notebook

Note: Click a country name to open a search results page for that country’s COVID-19 news.

Based on data up to: 2022-11-10. Compared to (10 days before): 2022-10-31

Transmission rate:

⭕ Bad news: new waves 🇧🇷 🇲🇽 🇲🇳 🇲🇺 🇰🇲 🇨🇩 🇮🇸 🇳🇴 🇰🇼 🇮🇷 🇨🇿 🇫🇷 🇮🇪 🇩🇴 🇲🇦 🇮🇳 🇷🇴 🇵🇹 🇯🇵

Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.

  • Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
  • Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
  • "Large increase" = at least +2%.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇧🇷 Brazil 702.9% 388.3% 99,422 0.22 99.1%
🇲🇽 Mexico 139.7% 89.3% 8,424 0.03 96.3%
🇲🇳 Mongolia 16.8% 8.1% 1,016 0.06 50.8%
🇲🇺 Mauritius 15.4% 7.4% 2,078 0.67 34.4%
🇰🇲 Comoros 10.3% 2.5% 1,846 0.25 16.1%
🇨🇩 Congo (Kinshasa) 8.6% 1.4% 165 0.00 0.8%
🇮🇸 Iceland 18.2% 11.5% 232 0.48 61.0%
🇳🇴 Norway 9.1% 2.4% 682 0.32 29.1%
🇰🇼 Kuwait 9.2% 3.2% 286 0.01 42.1%
🇮🇷 Iran 16.0% 10.4% 4,182 0.03 78.2%
🇨🇿 Czechia 5.8% 0.7% 2,339 0.60 61.1%
🇫🇷 France 13.6% 8.7% 113,752 3.93 73.6%
🇮🇪 Ireland 9.0% 5.0% 882 0.31 46.1%
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic 3.9% 0.5% 129 0.01 16.2%
🇲🇦 Morocco 8.7% 5.4% 352 0.00 15.9%
🇮🇳 India 7.4% 4.2% 16,732 0.01 19.0%
🇷🇴 Romania 8.4% 5.5% 1,803 0.19 55.5%
🇵🇹 Portugal 9.9% 7.5% 2,906 0.73 62.2%
🇯🇵 Japan 7.5% 5.3% 279,010 4.54 18.6%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: slowing waves 🇨🇴 🇿🇦 🇵🇰 🇵🇦 🇬🇹 🇳🇱 🇪🇨 🇪🇪 🇲🇾

Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.

  • Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
  • Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
  • "Large decrease" = at least -2%.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇨🇴 Colombia 15.9% 36.5% 587 0.02 88.0%
🇿🇦 South Africa 37.8% 55.0% 2,167 0.02 89.4%
🇵🇰 Pakistan 4.9% 16.4% 142 0.00 9.1%
🇵🇦 Panama 5.4% 13.1% 120 0.08 62.8%
🇬🇹 Guatemala 3.1% 10.6% 1,837 0.16 63.4%
🇳🇱 Netherlands 3.3% 9.0% 1,909 0.72 57.5%
🇪🇨 Ecuador 7.4% 13.1% 206 0.02 70.0%
🇪🇪 Estonia 4.4% 6.7% 204 0.61 47.4%
🇲🇾 Malaysia 9.5% 11.5% 13,005 0.22 45.4%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

ICU need:

⭕ Bad news: higher ICU need 🇯🇵 🇰🇷 🇲🇺 🇦🇺

Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Current:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 10 days ago:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇯🇵 Japan 4.54 3.46 279,010 7.5% 18.6%
🇰🇷 South Korea 4.40 3.50 234,629 12.2% 52.1%
🇲🇺 Mauritius 0.67 0.35 2,078 15.4% 34.4%
🇦🇺 Australia 1.47 1.16 38,097 9.8% 41.3%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: lower ICU need 🇮🇹 🇦🇹 🇹🇼 🇩🇪 🇸🇮 🇸🇬 🇫🇷 🇨🇭 🇱🇺 🇳🇿 🇱🇻 🇨🇾 🇱🇹 🇧🇪 🇪🇸 🇬🇷 🇳🇱 🇫🇲 🇩🇰 🇭🇷 🇨🇿 🇭🇺 🇪🇪 🇷🇸 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 🇲🇪 🇸🇰 🇵🇹 🇧🇬 🇬🇪

Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Current:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 10 days ago:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇮🇹 Italy 3.04 4.93 0 0.0% 53.5%
🇦🇹 Austria 5.01 6.66 15,024 8.9% 69.9%
🇹🇼 Taiwan* 7.48 8.86 88,667 4.8% 34.0%
🇩🇪 Germany 5.26 6.60 140,545 5.6% 48.9%
🇸🇮 Slovenia 3.89 5.18 3,007 10.8% 75.1%
🇸🇬 Singapore 3.25 4.19 10,991 4.1% 36.5%
🇫🇷 France 3.93 4.84 113,752 13.6% 73.6%
🇨🇭 Switzerland 2.78 3.52 5,988 5.4% 55.9%
🇱🇺 Luxembourg 1.84 2.54 420 4.5% 54.9%
🇳🇿 New Zealand 2.67 3.20 0 1.9% 39.0%
🇱🇻 Latvia 2.25 2.78 1,680 9.3% 66.4%
🇨🇾 Cyprus 1.28 1.73 0 0.0% 50.0%
🇱🇹 Lithuania 1.26 1.68 1,214 6.5% 59.3%
🇧🇪 Belgium 0.83 1.19 3,604 6.7% 57.3%
🇪🇸 Spain 0.65 1.00 0 0.0% 46.1%
🇬🇷 Greece 6.27 6.61 17,542 8.5% 61.6%
🇳🇱 Netherlands 0.72 1.05 1,909 3.3% 57.5%
🇫🇲 Micronesia 0.34 0.65 0 0.0% 4.6%
🇩🇰 Denmark 1.02 1.26 2,741 8.6% 60.5%
🇭🇷 Croatia 0.93 1.16 1,413 5.9% 50.5%
🇨🇿 Czechia 0.60 0.82 2,339 5.8% 61.1%
🇭🇺 Hungary 0.76 0.98 2,764 10.1% 71.7%
🇪🇪 Estonia 0.61 0.82 204 4.4% 47.4%
🇷🇸 Serbia 0.73 0.94 3,085 4.7% 35.7%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom 0.81 1.02 28,688 8.8% 63.6%
🇺🇦 Ukraine 0.40 0.60 140 0.1% 46.3%
🇷🇺 Russia 0.38 0.57 19,530 4.5% 53.3%
🇲🇪 Montenegro 0.55 0.71 151 14.3% 82.6%
🇸🇰 Slovakia 0.46 0.61 1,222 8.5% 69.4%
🇵🇹 Portugal 0.73 0.87 2,906 9.9% 62.2%
🇧🇬 Bulgaria 0.51 0.62 1,558 14.4% 79.1%
🇬🇪 Georgia 0.17 0.28 0 0.0% 93.0%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

New cases and deaths:

⭕ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks

Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.

Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: no new cases or deaths 🇬🇲 🇪🇷 🇵🇸 🇲🇿 🇬🇦 🇺🇬

New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Estimated
total
cases		 Total
reported
deaths		 Date
of last
reported case		 Date
of last
reported death
🇬🇲 Gambia 349,459 372 2022-10-31 2022-09-13
🇪🇷 Eritrea 65,576 103 2022-10-31 2022-02-12
🇵🇸 West Bank and Gaza 4,638,768 5,708 2022-10-31 2022-10-24
🇲🇿 Mozambique 2,037,637 2,224 2022-10-31 2022-10-11
🇬🇦 Gabon 230,610 306 2022-10-28 2022-07-15
🇺🇬 Uganda 4,362,813 3,630 2022-10-31 2022-09-20

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases 🇶🇦 🇧🇳 🇦🇪 🇲🇳 🇰🇪 🇵🇬 🇺🇿 🇩🇴 🇵🇦 🇲🇹 🇪🇹 🇲🇰 🇧🇹 🇱🇦 🇦🇱 🇩🇿 🇹🇿 🇧🇸 🇳🇵 🇷🇼 🇦🇲 🇨🇺 🇬🇾 🇰🇬 🇸🇾 🇹🇱 🇱🇾 🇲🇷 🇲🇱 🇹🇬 🇹🇩 🇧🇯 🇱🇷 🇰🇭 🇿🇲 🇳🇬 🇲🇬 🇳🇦 🇬🇭

New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇶🇦 Qatar 5.1% 4.8% 1,570 0.14 26.3%
🇧🇳 Brunei 10.1% 11.1% 1,524 1.75 56.3%
🇦🇪 UAE 5.1% 5.7% 1,031 0.02 25.3%
🇲🇳 Mongolia 16.8% 8.1% 1,016 0.06 50.8%
🇰🇪 Kenya 7.4% 8.6% 358 0.00 10.8%
🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea 7.0% 4.5% 141 0.00 4.3%
🇺🇿 Uzbekistan 6.5% 7.3% 139 0.00 2.2%
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic 3.9% 0.5% 129 0.01 16.2%
🇵🇦 Panama 5.4% 13.1% 120 0.08 62.8%
🇲🇹 Malta 5.6% 4.7% 78 0.35 32.0%
🇪🇹 Ethiopia 5.4% 4.1% 77 0.00 5.5%
🇲🇰 North Macedonia 25.2% 45.7% 65 0.08 91.6%
Eswatini 26.3% 7.5% 60 0.01 65.6%
🇧🇹 Bhutan 5.2% 2.5% 50 0.03 8.1%
🇱🇦 Laos 4.6% 1.9% 49 0.00 6.1%
🇦🇱 Albania 2.8% 4.1% 48 0.04 24.8%
🇩🇿 Algeria 7.2% 3.9% 44 0.00 7.4%
🇹🇿 Tanzania 2.6% 4.6% 44 0.00 1.3%
🇧🇸 Bahamas 15.0% 7.5% 43 0.03 41.7%
🇳🇵 Nepal 3.0% 1.2% 41 0.00 24.6%
🇷🇼 Rwanda 8.4% 8.8% 27 0.00 9.0%
🇦🇲 Armenia 2.4% 4.9% 22 0.06 61.8%
🇨🇺 Cuba 5.4% 1.7% 15 0.00 13.7%
🇬🇾 Guyana 9.9% 2.6% 14 0.01 47.4%
🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan 2.8% 5.2% 12 0.00 42.3%
🇸🇾 Syria 3.9% 1.7% 10 0.00 9.2%
🇹🇱 Timor-Leste 7.3% 0.5% 35 0.01 6.9%
🇱🇾 Libya 7.8% 10.4% 9 0.00 53.1%
🇲🇷 Mauritania 1.5% 2.8% 8 0.00 12.8%
🇲🇱 Mali 1.8% 2.0% 6 0.00 3.5%
🇹🇬 Togo 1.3% 0.8% 36 0.00 3.4%
🇹🇩 Chad 3.6% 4.4% 112 0.00 1.3%
🇧🇯 Benin 1.7% 3.3% 19 0.00 1.1%
🇱🇷 Liberia 2.4% 6.3% 60 0.01 4.8%
🇰🇭 Cambodia 0.5% 3.2% 1 0.00 8.4%
🇿🇲 Zambia 0.0% 6.9% 0 0.00 24.4%
🇳🇬 Nigeria 0.0% 4.0% 0 0.00 1.5%
🇲🇬 Madagascar 9.3% 12.7% 0 0.00 3.1%
🇳🇦 Namibia 0.0% 8.9% 0 0.01 88.2%
🇬🇭 Ghana 0.0% 1.4% 0 0.00 2.4%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

No news: continously inactive countries 🇹🇯 🇻🇺 🇸🇧 🇬🇼 🇩🇯 🇲🇼 🇧🇫 🇧🇼 🇴🇲 🇪🇬 🇫🇲 🇧🇾 🇯🇴 🇿🇼 🇹🇷 🇨🇬 🇱🇸 🇦🇴 🇸🇻

Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
  • Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Estimated
total
cases		 Total
reported
deaths		 Date
of last
reported case		 Date
of last
reported death
🇹🇯 Tajikistan 98,066 125 2022-02-21 2021-08-15
🇻🇺 Vanuatu 11,980 14 2022-10-25 2022-05-04
🇸🇧 Solomon Islands 115,734 153 2022-06-17 2022-06-17
🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau 179,368 176 2022-10-25 2022-10-10
🇩🇯 Djibouti 110,099 189 2022-06-13 2021-12-11
🇲🇼 Malawi 2,444,739 2,685 2022-11-08 2022-11-10
🇧🇫 Burkina Faso 377,570 387 2022-09-27 2022-06-16
🇧🇼 Botswana 1,904,643 2,790 2022-10-10 2022-10-10
🇴🇲 Oman 3,868,702 4,628 2022-10-25 2022-06-16
🇪🇬 Egypt 14,336,025 24,798 2022-04-19 2022-10-19
🇫🇲 Micronesia 24,987 58 2022-10-26 2022-11-07
🇧🇾 Belarus 1,329,159 7,118 2022-07-05 2022-07-05
🇯🇴 Jordan 10,562,284 14,122 2022-09-25 2022-09-25
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe 4,564,823 5,606 2022-10-16 2022-10-16
🇹🇷 Turkey 43,140,637 101,203 2022-10-10 2022-10-10
🇨🇬 Congo (Brazzaville) 319,436 386 2022-08-11 2022-07-07
🇱🇸 Lesotho 590,181 706 2022-09-16 2022-09-16
🇦🇴 Angola 1,973,311 1,917 2022-09-09 2022-08-05
🇸🇻 El Salvador 1,194,249 4,230 2022-08-30 2022-10-05

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

Deaths burden:

⭕ Bad news: higher death burden 🇩🇪 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 🇨🇿 🇦🇺 🇲🇾

Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
  • Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Current:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 10 days ago:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 New
reported deaths
since 10
days ago		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇩🇪 Germany 1.04 0.38 1709 5.3 48.9%
🇨🇦 Canada 0.82 0.29 566 1.1 19.7%
🇺🇸 US 0.55 0.11 3970 0.9 61.1%
🇨🇿 Czechia 0.41 0.12 118 0.6 61.1%
🇦🇺 Australia 0.27 0.11 190 1.5 41.3%
🇲🇾 Malaysia 0.11 0.04 47 0.2 45.4%

🟢 Good news: lower death burden 🇳🇱 🇵🇭

Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • "Significantly lower" = 50% less
  • Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Current:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 10 days ago:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 New
reported deaths
since 10
days ago		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇳🇱 Netherlands 0.07 0.15 52 0.7 57.5%
🇵🇭 Philippines 0.05 0.14 255 0.2 45.3%

Extras:

Future model projections plots

For countries in any of the above groups. To see more details and methodology go to main notebook

Tip: Choose country from the drop-down below the graph.